I will be running a liveblog for this election so you can see the results.
6:58: Things are not looking too good in North Carolina. We got our voters out but the Republican turnout seemed to have increased higher than I would have liked.
6:53 MSNBC calls New Hampshire for Obama!
6:47: Two pickups in the Senate! Warren and Donnelly!
6:45: Obama leading by 140,000 in Ohio. People still in line there, it will take awhile to call many of these states.
6:41: Looking at these results, I think there is one person who is the happiest person in politics. No, it's not Obama. It's Nate Silver.
6:38: Virginia narrows a bit. Romney 51%, Obama 48%. Looks like Democratic areas are coming in.
6:35: Jefferson and Araphaoe Counties, the big bellwethers in Colorado are looking good for Obama.
6:30: Wisconsin goes to Obama! First battleground state to go! Thought it would be closer but that Maruqette poll showed Obama ahead. Looks like that is happening.
6:26: Looks like MSNBC called Pennsylvania for Obama. Was a bit worried about that but it looks like we are fine there.
6:17: 78% in at Florida, Obama ahead by only 2,000 votes. Polls showed a close race. However, I think Obama still narrowly pulls it out because the I-4 Corridor still has not reported everything and I see Obama overperforming there.
6:13 Obama actually did better in Pensacola now than he did in 2008. Also, there are still more votes in Miami Dade and Broward. Early voting went well for Democrats there, reported early but it is reporting later.
6:10: David Gergen said that one more state may flip to the Democrats in the Senate. I think he is looking at Indiana.
6:06: Looks like Wisconsin should go our way. Minnesota though is a bit closer than I would like. The problem with Minnesota is that polls always overstate the leads for Democrats there.
5:58: Feeling much better about Florida. Except for the Panhandle, northern Florida which is pretty conservative is almost all in. Miami Dade just has 1% of non early votes in so I am not super worried yet. I think we pull out in Florida but by less than 100,000 votes. Obama currently ahead by only 3,000 votes.
5:56: Lots of these Senate races like Ohio and Missouri still too early to call although Democrats have a lead.
5:51: Carville says Florida is looking good for Obama. I would agree. Obama up by 5 in Pinellas, 5 in Hillsborough County (these are all bellwethers.) Only worry is that the conservative Panhandle has not reported strongly yet. Palm Beach is almost all in, Broward County is on its way too.
5:50: Elizabeth Warren is ahead by about 5, I think she is going to pull this out! Sorry Scotty.
5:48: Still too close to call in Florida. It is going to be a long night there.
5:32 Chris Murphy (D) wins in the Connecticut race. Linda McMahon (R) spent $41 million but still could not win. She ran in 2010, made it close in September but it was not enough.
5:28: Numbers not looking the best in NC. Not liking that Wake County, 2nd biggest NC county, Obama won by 13%, is leaning toward Romney.
5:27 Franklin County in Ohio, Obama needs 59% to win statewide, has 66% there. Still, it is the early voting.
5:18: Florida shows Romney ahead but this is a total glitch. Broward County has Romney with 70%. I would expect that to be the other way around, Broward County is a very strongly Democratic county.
5:14: If Obama wins Florida, it is checkmate. It will make it nearly impossible for Mitt Romney to win.
5:03: New Jersey too early to call. Interesting, would have expected it to go more strongly for Obama. Looks like Sandy had a big effect.
4:58: Democrats +3 in Florida, we will see how the Independents go.
4:50 pm: Florida is looking very good for Obama. Baseline for Miami Dade was 57%, he has 62%. Baseline for Osceola was below 60%, he has 63%. Obama is ahead by 140,000 votes so far and Broward County which is strongly Democratic is 0% in.
4:48 Republican areas in Virginia traditionally report early. Romney ahead 141,000 to 101,000. Similar in 2008, do not freak out yet Democrats. Fairfax County is not in yet.
4:41: Looks like Obama is barely going to pull it out in the bellwether Vigo County.
4:29: Obama ahead by 9 in Hillsborough County. That county is the bellwether. Also, Obama ahead now with NOTHING from Palm Beach, Broward and Miami Dade.
4:28: 39% Democratic, 30% Republican in Ohio. Please pray the exit polls are correct! 59% approve auto industry bailout.
4:24: Obama ahead by 7 in Pinellas. Basically matches his percentages in 2008. Problem is that Romney ahead by only 19,000 votes in Florida with 1.3 million votes in with NOTHING from Broward, Palm Beach and Miami Dade.
4:23: Worth watching IN Governor race. Republican ahead by only 3, Romney ahead by 16. Exit polls did not project good numbers for dems.
4:13 pm: Orange County early votes go 152,000 to 96,000 for Obama. Really good news, he needs to break 60% in Orange County to win statewide and he got 61% of the vote there so far. Hopefully the early votes match the results.
4:12 pm: For Virginia, watch Fairfax County. Obama must get above 57% there and Obama needs to win by around 100,000 votes to win statewide.
4:08 pm: national bellwether Vigo County in Indiana is 78% in. 49-49 tie with a very slight Romney lead. Still could go the other way.
4:06 pm: Exit polls show Romney +1 in Virginia. Not reading too much into that, I remember 2004. However, Mourdock is behind by about 5 points in Indiana. We will see.
3:57 pm: Looking close in IN-09. Expecting a big Republican win but Shelli Yoder (D) is an energetic and young candidate. Maybe she has a shot?
3:56: Mourdock ahead by 4, Romney ahead by 22 in Indiana. If Mourdock can't do as well as that, then Mourdock is in trouble.
3:19: Indiana is starting to report. So far, Romney is ahead 63%-35% but the main counties reporting include Shelby County, a Republican leaning county in the Indianapolis suburbs. Mourdock is leading 54%-41%. I am expecting Obama to lose Indiana by less than 15 points (and Romney is overperforming Mourdock by 15 points.) This is not good for Mourdock. However, Shelby County just started reporting, results could change.
3:16 So far, the early exit polls are showing according to Politico that half of voters blame Bush for the economic recession, 39% say the economy is getting better and the #of people saying the economy is getting worse is at 31%, according to ThinkProgress.
3:16 Kentucky's first polls have closed and they are showing a large Romney lead. The counties reporting though are in the southern part of the state which is heavily Republican. Kentucky is expected to go Republican but if Romney gets a large margin out of Kentucky (greater than 20%,) then expect a good night for him.